BJP has made a strong strategy for 125 Lok Sabha seats of UP, Bihar and Uttarakhand.

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Unlike other states, Bharatiya Janata Party is preparing a different political pitch in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Bihar. UP has been saffronized by BJP to win 80 seats of Uttar Pradesh. While the echo of the consecration program in the grand Ram temple built on the birthplace of Ramlala in Ayodhya was heard on political fronts including the country and abroad, worship has started in the Gyanvapi basement of Varanasi following the order of the district court. The dispute over Shri Krishna’s birthplace in Mathura also seems to be resolved soon due to the willpower of the government. All these developments are very important according to the current politics of BJP and election timing. Anyway, BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi have expertise in which issue to raise and which to leave during elections. After the consecration of Ram Lalla in the Ram temple in Ayodhya, the name of Lord Shri Ram resonated a lot during the budget session of the Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly. By giving a congratulatory message to PM Modi and CM Yogi for the construction of Ram temple at Shri Ram Janmabhoomi in the Legislative Assembly, the ruling party almost created a rift in the Samajwadi Party on the Ayodhya issue. Samajwadi Party’s politicking on Lord Shri Ram’s temple was overshadowed by the temple of democracy when SP MLAs raised their hands inside the Legislative Assembly and supported the congratulatory message for Modi-Yogi. Only 14 MLAs opposed it. BSP’s lone MLA Uma Shankar was also seen supporting the congratulatory message. Overall, BJP and Yogi government want to completely saffronize UP before the Lok Sabha elections so that Hindu voters can be united. If this happens then general elections can prove to be a challenge for Samajwadi Party including Congress and BSP. BJP is claiming to win all 80 seats this time.

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, NDA had registered a big victory in 80 seats of UP. In this election, NDA constituents BJP and Apna Dal (S) fought together and NDA had 51.19 percent vote share. In which BJP got 49.98 percent vote share and Apna Dal (S) got 1.21 percent vote share. Whereas the grand alliance (Bahujan Samaj Party, Samajwadi Party and Rashtriya Lok Dal) got 39.23 percent vote share. In which BSP got 19.43 percent votes, SP got 18.11 percent votes and RLD got 1.69 percent votes. Apart from this, Congress got 6.36 vote share in this election. If we talk about seats, BJP had won 62 seats, Apna Dal (S) had won two, BSP had won 10, SP had won five and Congress had won one seat.

After the elections held in the year 2019, by-elections were held on three seats of UP, which included Rampur, Azamgarh and Mainpuri Lok Sabha seats. In Rampur, SP leader Azam Khan had resigned from the membership of Lok Sabha, after which by-election was held on this seat. BJP had won the by-election in Rampur, which is called Azam’s stronghold. Apart from this, by-election was also held on Azamgarh Lok Sabha seat which became vacant after the resignation of SP President Akhilesh Yadav. SP had made Dharmendra Yadav its candidate on this seat, while BJP had fielded Bhojpuri superstar Dinesh Lal Yadav Nirahua on this seat. Dinesh Lal Yadav Nirahua defeated Dharmendra Yadav by more than 8 thousand votes. After the death of SP patron Mulayam Singh Yadav, by-election was also held on Mainpuri seat. In Mainpuri, which is known as SP’s stronghold, Akhilesh Yadav’s wife Dimple Yadav was in the fray from SP’s side and BJP had made Prem Singh Shakya its candidate on this seat. However, Dimple Yadav had won the Mainpuri by-election. This time SP and BSP are contesting the elections separately. SP has an alliance with Congress, but the picture is not clear yet.

Like Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand is also getting colored in saffron. This is being proved again and again by the decisions of CM Pushkar Singh Dhami. The Dhami government is tightening its grip on the arbitrariness of Madrassas, while the tombs built at various places are being removed. Uttarakhand has also become the first state in the country to approve the Uniform Civil Code. Now the marriage age for boys and girls of all religions has been fixed in Uttarakhand. Similarly, divorce cases will also be settled in the same manner. Halala and polygamy have been frowned upon. Overall, under the UCC law in Uttarakhand, there will be equal laws regarding marriage, divorce, alimony, land, property and inheritance for all citizens in the state, irrespective of the religion they follow. One of the major promises made by the BJP to the public during the assembly elections held in the year 2022 was to make an Act on UCC and implement it in the state. However, opposition to this has also started. On the Uniform Civil Code (UCC) Bill, Maulana Khalid Rashid Farangi Mahali, executive member of All India Muslim Personal Law Board (AIMPLB) said that will there be uniformity in all the laws once it (UCC) comes? No, there will be no uniformity at all. How can there be uniformity when you have exempted some communities from this? Our legal committee will study the draft and take a decision accordingly. When the Chief Minister introduced the bill on February 6, the ruling party MLAs also raised slogans of “Bharat Mata ki Jai, Vande Mataram and Jai Shri Ram”. It may be noted that on February 04, the State Cabinet had accepted the UCC draft and given approval to table it in the House as a bill. On the other hand, Leader of Opposition in the Assembly Yashpal Arya said that there is doubt on the intentions of the government. There does not seem to be any hindrance in making UCC law in Uttarakhand. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, BJP had won all five seats of Uttarakhand. This time also there does not appear to be any significant obstacle for BJP.

If we talk about Bihar, here also BJP seems to be in lead in the changed political environment. Bihar was already happy with UP due to the Pran Pratishtha program in Ayodhya, now by giving Bharat Ratna to former Chief Minister of Bihar Karpuri Thakur, who is called the father of backward people, on his birth centenary, Narendra Modi has helped the backward and extremely backward people of the Hindi belt. Have also achieved this. It is said that the route to Parliament passes through Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. In both the states, backward and extremely backward classes play an important role in the electoral mathematics.

Actually, Bihar is a very important state for BJP and here Nitish Kumar keeps playing the game of changing sides every few years. Today he has again come with BJP, but his trust has not returned, that is why Narendra Modi is trying to make Nitish Kumar irrelevant from the politics of Bihar even while being with him. He has been continuously making efforts for this since the year 2014. There are 40 Lok Sabha seats from Bihar. In the year 2014, Janata Dal (U), RJD and BJP had contested elections separately. Along with the BJP were smaller parties like Ram Vilas Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party and Upendra Kushwaha’s Rashtriya Lok Samata Party. In the elections, BJP along with its allies had won 31 out of 40 seats. Janata Dal (U) got only two seats and RJD got only four seats. After this Nitish Kumar had joined BJP. In the year 2019, he contested elections in Bihar in alliance with BJP and won 16 Lok Sabha seats. RJD was wiped out in the alliance of both the parties and it could not even open its account in the Lok Sabha elections. However, after this, Nitish Kumar once again turned around and went with RJD, but now he has again joined BJP and is also running the government with BJP.

As far as other states of Hindi belt – Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Haryana, Delhi and BJP’s bastion Gujarat, Uttarakhand, Himachal, Karnataka and Maharashtra are concerned, the effect of Ram temple is seen in favor of BJP in all these states. Used to be. Time will tell whether this will also translate into votes. There are 222 Lok Sabha seats in these states. Apart from this, BJP’s position looks strong in other states including West Bengal and Assam in the North-East. She can repeat her 2019 performance here again. Before Narendra Modi was declared the BJP’s Prime Ministerial candidate, in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, the vote share of the BJP was 18.80 percent and the party had 116 seats, but in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, Narendra Modi’s charismatic leadership helped the BJP. The vote share increased to 31 percent and the party got 282 seats. The BJP-led NDA won 336 seats. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Narendra Modi further increased the vote share of BJP. It increased to 37.7 percent and the party won 303 seats on its own, meaning Narendra Modi knows what the public likes and how to win election after election. Now only a few days are left for the Lok Sabha elections. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has started his election campaign across the country, while the opposition parties are busy in sharing seats by forming alliances.

-Ajay Kumar

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